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Download a PDF of the CPASW 2009
agenda here.
All sessions are held in National Weather Center Room 1313 (Auditorium) |
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Tuesday, March 24, 2009 |
| 8:00 AM - 12:00 PM |
Workshop Registration |
| 8:00 AM - 8:30 AM |
Coffee |
| 8:30 AM - 9:00 AM |
Introduction
Mark Shafer, Oklahoma Climatological Survey/SCIPP
Ahsha Tribble, NOAA Climate Services Division
 Watch
Presentation
Welcoming Address
Kelvin Droegemeier, Associate Vice President for Research, OU
Logistics, NWC procedures, Schedule Overview
James Hocker, Oklahoma Climatological Survey/SCIPP
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| 9:00 AM - 10:00 AM |
Session 1a: Stakeholder Evaluation of Climate Products and Services
Moderator: Gregg Garfin, IES/University of Arizona |
| 9:00 AM |
Evaluating Climate Assessment and Translational Science Efforts in the
U.S. Southwest: Lessons from a CLIMAS Pilot Evaluation Project
Dan Ferguson, University of Arizona/CLIMAS
Watch
Presentation |
| 9:20 AM |
Improving Stakeholder Access to Climate Information: Results from the
Southwest Climate Outlook Evaluation
Gigi Owen, University of Arizona/CLIMAS
Watch
Presentation |
| 9:40 AM |
Evaluation of the Intermountain West Climate Summary: Lessons for Communicating
Climate Information
Jessica Lowrey, University of Colorado/Western Water Assessment
Watch
Presentation |
| 10:00 AM - 10:30 AM |
Morning Break (snacks provided) |
| 10:30 AM - 12:00 PM |
Session 1b: Stakeholder Evaluation of Climate Products and Services;
Panel Discussion
Moderator: Gregg Garfin, University of Arizona |
| 10:30 AM |
Moving Beyond the "Loading Dock": A Multi-dimensional Evaluation
of Agroclimate
Carla Roncoli, University of Georgia/Southeast Climate Consortium
Watch
Presentation |
| 10:50 AM |
Enhancing Climate Literacy
Tom James, University of Oklahoma
Watch
Presentation |
| 11:10 PM - 12:00 PM |
Session 1 Panel Discussion
Panelists: Gigi Owen, Jessica Lowrey, Dan Ferguson, Carla Roncoli, and Tom James
Watch
Presentation |
| 12:00 PM - 1:30 PM |
Lunch (provided) |
| 12:45 PM - 1:15 PM |
Guided tour of the National Weather Center building (limited space; please
sign up at registration desk) |
| 1:30 PM - 3:10 PM |
Session 2: Drought Monitoring and Tools
Moderator: Renee McPherson, Oklahoma Climatological Survey |
| 1:30 PM |
Update on Activities of the National Integrated Drought Information System
(NIDIS)
Mark Shafer, Oklahoma Climatological Survey/SCIPP
Watch
Presentation |
| 1:50 PM |
A Freezing Level Tool for Drought Monitoring
Kelly Redmond, Desert Research Institute
Watch
Presentation |
| 2:10 PM |
Discovering the Spatial and Temporal Relationships Between Vegetation
Condition and Climate in Monitoring Drought
Tsegaye Tadesse, National Drought Mitigation Center
Watch
Presentation |
| 2:30 PM |
Multi-scale Hydroclimatic Index for Monitoring Drought
Gregg Garfin, IES/University of Arizona
Watch
Presentation |
| 2:50 PM |
Climate Impact Indices for Drought Risk Management, Focusing on Index
Insurance and the Millennium Villages Project Sites in Africa
Eric Holthaus, International Research Institute for
Climate & Society
Watch
Presentation |
| 3:10 PM - 3:40 PM |
Afternoon Break (snacks provided) |
| 3:40 PM - 5:00 PM |
Session 3: Water Issues
Moderator: Suzanne Van Cooten, National Severe Storms Laboratory |
| 3:40 PM |
Developing Hydroclimatic Reconstructions for Water Resources Management
in the Pacific Northwest
Jeremy Littell, University of Washington Climate Impacts Group
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| 4:00 PM |
National Water Resources Outlook
Jim Noel, NOAA/NWS Ohio River Forecast Center
Watch
Presentation |
| 4:20 PM |
Climate Change in Colorado: Developing a Science Synthesis to Support
Water Resources Management Adaptation
Andrea Ray, NOAA Earth System Research Laboratory
Watch
Presentation |
| 4:40 PM |
Lake Mead's Future: Out of Water or Out of Context?
Joseph Barsugli, CIRES/University of Colorado at Boulder
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| 5:00 PM - 7:00 PM |
Welcome Reception, National Weather Center |
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Wednesday, March 25, 2009 |
| 8:00 AM - 9:00 AM |
Workshop Registration |
| 8:00 AM - 8:30 AM |
Poster set-up in atrium |
| 8:00 AM - 8:30 AM |
Coffee |
| 8:30 AM - 9:50 AM |
Session 4: Agricultural Applications
Moderator: Harvey Hill, Agriculture and Agri-Food Canada |
| 8:30 AM |
The Value of ENSO Forecast Information to Dual Purpose Winter Wheat Production
in the U.S. Southern High Plains
Steven Mauget, U.S. Department of Agriculture/ARS
Watch
Presentation |
| 8:50 AM |
Predicting Spring Wheat Yields from Climate and Microwave Remote Sensing
Data on the Canadian Prairies
Harvey Hill, Agriculture and Agri-Food Canada
Watch
Presentation |
| 9:10 AM |
Accuracy of the Medium Range Precipitation Predictions in the U.S. and
Their Use in Agricultural Decision-Making
Qi Hu, University of Nebraska - Lincoln
Watch
Presentation |
| 9:30 AM |
Multi-decadal Variability in Temperature and Precipitation in the Southeast
United States
David Zierden, Florida State University/COAPS
Watch
Presentation |
| 9:50 AM - 10:20 AM |
Morning Break (snacks provided) |
| 10:20 AM - 12:00 PM |
Session 5: Regional Climate Modeling Applications; Panel Discussion
Moderator: Keith Ingram, University of Florida/Southeast Climate Consortium |
| 10:20 AM |
A New Geospatio-temporal Weather Generator
Guillermo Baigorria, University of Florida
Watch
Presentation |
| 10:35 AM |
Sensitivity of Crop Yields to Various Weather Data
Dong-Wook Shin, Florida State University/COAPS
|
| 10:50 AM |
ENSO Signals in Seasonal Predictions made with a Regional Climate Model
Given Forecasts from NCEP CFS
Chris Anderson, Iowa State University
Watch
Presentation |
| 11:05 AM |
Decadal Land Use Change and Regional Climate Modeling Experiments Applied
to Water Management: West Central Florida Case Study
Jose Hernandez, University of Florida
|
| 11:20 AM - 12:00 PM |
Session 5 Panel Discussion
Panelists: Guillermo Baigorria, Dong-Wook Shin, Chris Anderson, and Jose Hernandez
|
| 12:00 PM - 1:30 PM |
Lunch (provided) |
| 12:45 PM - 1:15 PM |
Guided tour of the National Weather Center building (limited space; please
sign up at registration desk) |
| 1:30 PM - 2:30 PM |
Session 6: Extreme Events and Severe Weather Applications
Moderator: Harold Brooks, National Severe Storms Laboratory |
| 1:30 PM |
The Clustering of Extreme Weather Events with Respect to Time and Their
Relationship with the Planetary Circulation
Charles Konrad, NOAA Southeast Regional Climate Center
|
| 1:50 PM |
Statistical Relationships Between the El Nino Southern Oscillation, the
North Atlantic Oscillation, and Winter Tornado Outbreaks in the U.S.
Ashton Robinson, University of Oklahoma/Storm Prediction Center
|
| 2:10 PM |
A Preliminary Investigation of Severe Thunderstorm Environment Distributions
under Global Warming as Simulated by CCSM3
Patrick Marsh, University of Oklahoma/School of Meteorology
Watch
Presentation |
| 2:30 PM - 3:30 PM |
Session 7: International Climate Applications
Moderator: Andrea Ray, NOAA Earth System Research Laboratory |
| 2:30 PM |
Climate Information for Disaster Risk Management: Early Warning - Early
Action
Simon Mason, International Research Institute for
Climate & Society
Watch
Presentation |
| 2:50 PM |
Status of Health-Climate Related Applications at Spanish Meteorological
Agency
Jose Camacho, Spanish Meteorological Agency
Watch
Presentation |
| 3:10 PM |
A Non-Linear Bayesian Analog Technique of Climate Prediction: An Application
to the Prediction of Monsoon Intraseasonal Oscillation
Rajib Chattopadhyay, Indian Institute of Tropical Meteorology
Watch
Presentation |
| 3:30 PM - 5:00 PM |
Session 8: Poster Presentations and Refreshments
Climate Change in Colorado: Scientific Challenges in Preparing a Statewide Assessment
Joseph Barsugli, CIRES/University of Colorado at Boulder
Enablers and Barriers to Climate Forecast Use in Agriculture in Two Distant Study
Areas
Norman Breuer, University of Miami
Changes in Summertime Precipitation Over the U.S. Due to Climate Change as Simulated
by the WRF Model
Melissa Bukovsky, University of Oklahoma/School of Meteorology
Drought Policy in Oklahoma and Missouri
Heather Campbell, University of Oklahoma/SCIPP
A Non-Linear Bayesian Analog Technique of Climate Prediction: An Application
to the Prediction of Monsoon Intraseasonal Oscillation
Rajib Chattopadhyay, Indian Institute of Tropical Meteorology
Fostering Collaboration and Information Exchange with New Technologies: Drought,
Climate Change, Water, Impacts, and Indigenous People
Dan Ferguson, University of Arizona/CLIMAS
Improving Information Flows to Enhance Drought and Climate Change Resilience
in Northern Mexico
Gregg Garfin, IES/University of Arizona
Reducing Drought Vulnerability Through an Urban Landscape Decision Tool
Gregg Garfin, IES/University of Arizona
Homogeneity Analysis of Hamlet and Lettenmaier (2005) and Daly et al. (1994)
precipitation gridded data sets for the Colorado River Basin
Galina Guentchev, UCAR/CLIVAR/CPAPP
The Affect of ENSO Events on Freeze Occurrences in New Mexico: Supporting Better
Resource Management Decisions
Zack Guido, University of Arizona/CLIMAS
The Return of the Dust Bowl to the Southern High Plains?
Chris Kimble, National Weather Service Amarillo, TX
Statistical Relationships Between the El Nino Southern Oscillation, the North
Atlantic Oscillation, and Winter Tornado Outbreaks in the U.S.
Ashton Robinson, University of Oklahoma/Storm Prediction Center
Estimating Uncertainties in Global and Regional Climate Change Projections Using
a Large Multi-member Climate Model Ensemble
Derek Rosendahl, University of Oklahoma/School of Meteorology
Weathering Drought: One State's Experience
Mark Shafer, Oklahoma Climatological Survey/SCIPP
Using Climate Forecasts to Reduce Risk in Dairy Farming
Daniel Solis, University of Miami
Climate-based Decision Making for Cattle Ranchers
Daniel Solis, University of Miami
Relationships Between Temperature and Residential Natural Gas Consumption in
the Central and Eastern United States
Reed Timmer, University of Oklahoma/School of Meteorology |
| 6:30 PM - 9:30 PM |
Workshop Dinner, Sam Noble Museum of Natural History
(First floor museum exhibits will be open for viewing all evening.) |
| 6:30 PM |
Hors d'oeuvres |
| 7:00 PM |
Dinner |
| 8:00 PM |
Dinner Speaker
Eileen Shea, NOAA National Climatic Data Center |
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Thursday, March 26, 2009 |
| 8:00 AM - 9:00 AM |
Workshop Registration |
| 8:00 AM - 8:30 AM |
Coffee |
| 8:30 AM - 9:50 AM |
Session 9: Products and Tools
Moderator: Ahsha Tribble, NOAA/NWC/CSD |
| 8:30 AM |
ENSO Alert System for Monitoring and Assessing the ENSO-Cycle
Michelle L'Heureux, NOAA Climate Prediction Center
Watch
Presentation |
| 8:50 AM |
An Update of the NOAA/Climate Prediction Center GIS Project
Viviane Silva, NOAA Climate Prediction Center
Watch
Presentation |
| 9:10 AM |
CPC Products: Present and Future
Wayne Higgins, NOAA Climate Prediction Center
Watch
Presentation |
| 9:30 AM |
Strategy for Developing Climate Forecast Products in Cooperation with
Partners
Mike Halpert, NOAA Climate Prediction Center
Watch
Presentation |
| 9:50 AM - 10:20 AM |
Morning Break (snacks provided) |
| 10:20 AM - 12:00 PM |
Session 10: Climate Prediction Interactive Discussion
Moderator: Fiona Horsfall, NOAA Climate Prediction Center
Panelists: Ed O'Lenic, Jon Gottschalck, Michelle L'Heureux, Viviane Silva, and
Marina Timofeyeva; NOAA Climate Prediction Center |
| 12:00 PM - 1:30 PM |
Lunch (provided) |
| 12:45 PM - 1:15 PM |
Guided tour of the National Weather Center building (limited space; please
sign up at registration desk) |
| 1:30 PM - 2:50 PM |
Session 11: Products and Tools 2
Moderator: Ed O'Lenic, NOAA Climate Prediction Center |
| 1:30 PM |
Improving Seasonal Fire Predictions and Information Services in Alaska
for Regional and National Fire Resource Planning
Dan White, Alaska Center for Climate Assessment and Policy
|
| 1:50 PM |
NOAA NWS Local Climate Services Tools
Marina Timofeyeva, NOAA Climate Services Division
|
| 2:10 PM |
A Disease Forecast System for Strawberries as a Tool on Agroclimate
Clyde Fraisse, University of Florida
Watch
Presentation |
| 2:30 PM |
Status Report: Assessing Decadal Precipitation Variations as Surrogate
Forecasts
Jeanne Schneider, USDA ARS Grazinglands Research Laboratory
Watch
Presentation |
| 2:50 PM |
An Uncertainty Framework for Regional Climate Assessments?
Kristen Averyt, Western Water Assessment/University of Colorado
Watch
Presentation |
| 3:10 PM - 3:40 PM |
Afternoon Break (snacks provided) |
| 3:40 PM - 5:00 PM |
Session 12: Stakeholder Perspective of Climate Services - Panel Discussion
Moderator: Mark Shafer, Oklahoma Climatological Survey/SCIPP
Panelists: Sid Sperry, Oklahoma Association of Electric Cooperatives
Gayland Kitch, Moore Emergency Management
Marc Young, Oklahoma Insurance Department |
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Friday, March 27, 2009 |
| 8:00 AM - 9:00 AM |
Workshop Registration |
| 8:00 AM - 8:30 AM |
Coffee |
| 8:30 AM - 10:00 AM |
Session 13: Fostering Collaboration in Decision Support Tool
Development – Interactive Session |
| 8:30 AM |
Using Web Services to Integrate Climate Applications
Ellen Lay, Arid
Lands Information Center/University of Arizona
Watch
Presentation
Watch
Presentation Part 2 |
| 8:45 AM |
Collaborative Development of Decision Support Tools for Climate Applications
Holly Hartmann, Arid Lands Information Center/University of Arizona
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| 9:00 AM |
Panel and Roundtable Discussion
Moderator: Holly Hartmann, Arid Lands
Information Center/University of Arizona
Panelists: Keith Ingram, Southeast
Climate Consortium
Ed O’Lenic, NOAA Climate Prediction Center
Greg Carbone,
University of South Carolina
Watch
Presentation |
| 10:00 AM - 10:30 AM |
Morning Break (snacks provided) |
| 10:30 AM - 11:50 AM |
Session 14: Adaptation and Final Thoughts
Moderator: Heather Lazrus, University of Oklahoma |
| 10:30 AM |
Getting the Balance Between Variability and Long Term Climate Change
and How it Relates to Developing an Adaptation Program for the Canadian
Agricultural Sector
Harvey Hill, Agriculture and Agri-Food Canada
Watch
Presentation |
| 10:50 AM |
The Urban Leaders Adaptation Initiative: Climate Resilient Local Governments
Josh Foster, Center for Clean Air Policy |
| 11:10 AM |
Alaska Center for Climate Assessment and Policy: Stakeholder Adaptation
- from Citizens to the State
Dan White, University of Alaska Fairbanks/ACCAP |
| 11:30 AM |
Suppose a Long View: A Framework for Sustainability Using Climate Information
Applications
John Wiener, University of Colorado/NCAR
Watch
Presentation |
| 11:50 AM - 12:00 PM |
Concluding Remarks
Mark Shafer, Oklahoma Climatological Survey/SCIPP |
| 12:00 PM |
Adjourn |